Financial report / Explanations and comments on the Balance Sheet / 37. Risk connected with financial instruments
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Risk connected with financial instruments

Liquidity risk is the risk that the Group will not be able to meet its financial obligations as they fall due. The Group’s approach to managing liquidity is to ensure that, as far as possible, that it will always have sufficient liquidity to meet its liabilities when due, under both normal and stressed conditions, without incurring unacceptable losses or risking damage to the Group’s reputation. The Group’s entities utilise a detailed budgeting and cash forecasting process to ensure their liquidity is maintained at appropriate level.

The Group has entered into various agreements with a number of banks in Russia whereby the banks have issued facilities to guarantee the repayment of the Group’s commitments related to the existing aircraft lease agreements.

The following are the contractual maturities of financial liabilities, excluding future interest:

31 December 2012 Contractual Effective 0-12
months
1-2
years
2-5
years
Over
5 years
Total
Non-derivative financial liabilities:
Loans in foreign currency 3,7% 3,7% 25.6 24.9 20.4 6.3 77.2
Loans in Russian roubles 11,2% 11,2% 38.3 126.7 61.7 226.7
Bonds 7,8% 7,6% 402.1 402.1
Finance lease liabilities 3,7% 3,7% 246.3 204.4 563.1 867.9 1,881.7
Customs duties 0,0% 10,8% 10.3 6.2 2.2 18.7
Trade and other payables (excluding customs duties) 0,0% 0,0% 750.1 1.7 5.0 8.2 765.0
1,472.7 363.9 652.4 882.4 3,371.4
31 December 2011 Contractual Effective 0-12
months
1-2
years
2-5
years
Over
5 years
Total
Non-derivative financial liabilities:
Loans in foreign currency 4,5% 4,5% 42.4 0.5 1.7 6.3 50.9
Loans in Russian roubles 10,5% 10,5% 329.3 1.8 5.3 336.4
Bonds 7,8% 8,0% 6.5 372.7 379.2
Finance lease liabilities 3,6% 3,6% 202.8 182.9 412.3 701.5 1,499.5
Customs duties 0,0% 9,8% 12.2 4.9 0.6 17.7
Trade and other payables (excluding customs duties) 0,0% 0,0% 799.8 1.2 3.7 6.6 811.3
1,393.0 564.0 423.6 714.4 3,095.0

Customs duties represent discounted liabilities on custom duties regarding finance and operation leases of aircrafts. The effective annualised interest rate is impacted by the date of adding a new aircraft to the fleet of the Group.

As at 31 December 2012 the Group had USD 959.6 million (31 December 2011: USD 632.4 million) available in relation to lines of credit granted to the Group by various lending institutions.

Currency risk — The Group is exposed to currency risk in relation to sales, purchases and borrowings that are denominated in a currency other than the respective functional currencies of the Group entities, which are primarily the Russian rouble. The currencies in which these transactions are primarily denominated are Euro and USD.

The Group’s exposure to foreign currency risk was as follows based on notional amounts of financial instruments:

2012 2011
In millions of USD USD EUR Other Total USD EUR Other Total
Cash and cash equivalents 162.6 26.7 36.8 226.1 47.5 10.7 22.6 80.8
Accounts receivable, net 305.5 96.6 75.6 477.7 235.1 81.6 109.5 426.2
Other non-current assets 41.7 2.6 0.7 45.0 456.4 5.6 2.1 464.1
509.8 125.9 113.1 748.8 739.0 97.9 134.2 971.1
Accounts payable and accrued liabilities 154.7 90.9 19.4 265.0 203.6 82.1 38.4 324.1
Finance lease liabilities (current portion) 237.9 237.9 193.4 193.4
Finance lease liabilities (non-current portion) 1,537.9 1,537.9 1,198.2 1,198.2
Short-term borrowings 24.3 0.5 0.8 25.6 40.9 0.6 0.9 42.4
Long-term borrowings 50.8 0.8 51.6 6.3 0.5 1.7 8.5
2,005.6 91.4 21.0 2,118.0 1,642.4 83.2 41.0 1,766.6
Net assets/(liabilities) (1,495.8) 34.5 92.1 (1,369.2) (903.4) 14.7 93.2 (795.5)

In addition, payment of approximately USD 411.3 million denominated in euro is expected to take place in April 2013 in relation to the hedge instrument described in Note 25.

In November and December 2012, the Group entered into agreements with three Russian banks to hedge the risk of negative changes in the exchange rates (Note 25).

A 20% strengthening or weakening of the Russian rouble against the following currencies as at 31 December 2012 and 31 December 2011, respectively, would have increased/(decreased) profit before income tax by the amounts shown below. This analysis assumes that all other variables, in particular interest rates, remain constant. The effect on the Group’s equity would be the same as that on the Group’s profit, excluding taxation.

2012 2011
In millions of USD Percent against RUR Effect on profit before income tax Percent against RUR Effect on profit before income tax
Increase in the rate of exchange to rouble
USD 20% (299.1) 20% (180.7)
Euro 20% 6.8 20% 2.9
Other currencies 20% 18.4 20% 18.6
Decrease in rate of exchange to rouble
USD 20% 299.1 20% 180.7
Euro 20% (6.8) 20% (2.9)
Other currencies 20% (18.4) 20% (18.6)

Interest rate risk — Changes in interest rates impact primarily loans and borrowings by changing either their value (fixed rate debt) or their future cash flows (variable rate debt). At the time of raising new loans or borrowings management uses judgment to decide whether it believes that a fixed or variable interest rate would be more favourable to the Group over the expected period until maturity.

As at 31 December 2012 and 31 December 2011 the interest rate profiles of the Group’s interest-bearing financial instruments were:

Carrying amount
2012 2011
Fixed rate instruments
Financial assets 13.0 221.8
Financial liabilities (1,312.3) (1,152.4)
(1,299.3) (930.6)
Variable rate instruments
Financial assets 0.5
Financial liabilities (1,275.4) (1,113.8)
(1,275.4) (1,113.3)

During the year some of the Group’s loans bore variable interest rates (Note 31 and Note 32). If the variable interest rates on borrowings in 2012 were 30% greater or lower that the actual interest rates for the year, with all other variables held constant, interest expense would not have changed significantly (2011: no significant change).

The interest component of the Group’s finance leases primarily accrues at variable interest rates. Notable part of finance lease liabilities (USD 523 million) is a subject to an interest rate swap agreement (Note 25). If in 2011 those rates were 30% greater or lower than what they actually were, with all other variables held constant, interest expense on finance leases for the year would not have been materially different (2011: no significant change).

Fuel risk — The results of the Group’s operations can be significantly impacted by changes in the price of aircraft fuel. In December 2010 and in September and October 2012 the Group entered into agreements with a Russian banks to hedge a portion of its fuel costs from potential future price increases. In accordance with the terms of the agreement the Group will be compensated by the bank for the excess between the actual price and the ceiling price specified in the agreement, whilst the Group has agreed to compensate the bank the shortfall between the actual prices and the floor price specified in the agreement.

Capital management — The Group manages its capital to ensure its ability to continue as a going concern while maximizing the return to shareholders through the optimization of the debt and equity balance.

The Group monitors it’s capital in comparison with other companies in the airline industry on the basis of the following ratios:

Total debt mainly consists of borrowings, finance lease liabilities, custom duties payable on leased aircraft, defined benefit pension obligation. Net debt is defined as total debt less cash, cash equivalents and short term investments. Total capital consists of total equity and net debt. EBITDA is calculated as operating profit before depreciation, amortization and custom duties expenses.

The ratios are as follows:

2012 2011
Total debt 2,621.4 2,295.5
Less cash and cash equivalents and short term investments (501.0) (414.1)
Net debt 2,120.4 1,881.4
Equity 1,775.2 1,488.4
Total capital 3,895.6 3,369.8
Net debt / Total capital 0.5 0.6
Total debt / EBITDA 3.8 3.6
Net debt / EBITDA 3.2 2.9

There were no changes in the Group’s approach to capital management during the year.

Neither the Group nor any of its subsidiaries are subject to externally imposed capital requirements.

Credit risk is the risk of financial loss to the Group if a customer or counterparty to a financial instrument fails to meet its contractual obligations, and arises principally from the Group’s receivables from customers and investment securities.